Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.684214 3.923231 4.180281 4.479173 4.819638 5.198448 5.656208
2025-03-09 3.273554 3.582924 3.933561 4.366357 4.895035 5.532463 6.380431
2025-03-16 2.915792 3.254497 3.653367 4.168666 4.834560 5.694676 6.945536
2025-03-23 2.708142 3.079376 3.533016 4.146518 4.987695 6.161174 8.062622
2025-03-30 2.517250 2.905859 3.395467 4.084106 5.079845 6.574798 9.286656
2025-04-06 2.338858 2.732319 3.240327 3.978360 5.095376 6.888155 10.527119
2025-04-13 2.168355 2.555649 3.064961 3.823529 5.014005 7.034015 11.575135
2025-04-20 2.084200 2.486113 3.028128 3.864128 5.247245 7.804102 14.656124
2025-04-27 2.013768 2.429305 3.003270 3.919353 5.518856 8.766729 19.676530
2025-05-04 1.963956 2.396726 3.009537 4.024043 5.905388 10.186384 30.474068
2025-05-11 1.900659 2.340401 2.975386 4.058134 6.170862 11.509808 50.573484
2025-05-18 1.827512 2.265111 2.906161 4.023799 6.292765 12.554533 91.637000
2025-05-25 1.733563 2.159677 2.791005 3.911405 6.261301 13.267635 220.243696
2025-06-01 1.664005 2.086474 2.721492 3.874650 6.400743 14.817839 NaN
2025-06-08 1.583319 1.992581 2.612815 3.754180 6.319809 15.496968 NaN
2025-06-15 1.535663 1.945721 2.576720 3.767396 6.581756 18.286531 NaN
2025-06-22 1.484299 1.890431 2.522813 3.739906 6.737136 21.049902 NaN
2025-06-29 1.429398 1.826993 2.451134 3.669049 6.757872 23.217075 NaN
2025-07-06 1.370320 1.754531 2.360074 3.549789 6.612138 23.924394 NaN
2025-07-13 1.343465 1.730817 2.350077 3.597165 6.989112 31.588275 NaN
2025-07-20 1.319986 1.711085 2.345359 3.655439 7.435734 45.950968 NaN
2025-07-27 1.303950 1.702194 2.358761 3.755770 8.092448 90.418367 NaN
2025-08-03 1.279755 1.678927 2.344791 3.792579 8.545881 228.418100 NaN